ReadWriteWeb list their predictions (or wishes rather) for 2009. The first thing they cover is
What We Want in 2009: Help Us Manage Social Media Better
For the entrepreneurs still looking to get our attention with the latest social media toys, their pitch may no longer be "come try this, it's new," but instead, "come try this, it helps." Because if there's anything we learned from 2008, it's that social media overload is not sustainable.
In my previous post I covered social media overload too. Makes me proud that they feel it too.
Anyway, here are my predictions / wishes for 2009.
Twitter breaks it into the mainstream.
The way they do it is by appealing to journalists, who in turn use it for research and social interaction, for a more fulfilled journalism. And just like Michael Arrington they post the topics of their articles on Twitter before before the article goes public.
Apple hits 15% market share.
But before that Apple break the 10% barrier, probably very soon.
Effectively this makes any site an API, allowing for interaction between sites in a yet unimaginable way. It's the natural next step, the ultimate modularisation of the World Wide Web.
Facebook hits a virtual brick wall.
The behemoth made sense in a booming economy. Now, monetization of a company with 1000+ employees is getting urgent. I'm not sure what this brick wall will be, money, lack of CPM for ads, expenses of servers or whatever.
Tech startups survive.
At least to a greater extent than expected. The tech economy learnt a great deal from the days of the bubble. Maybe the most important lesson was how to live and exists cheaply - something many businesses are not used to at all. So I predict tech companies, specifically startups, will survive to a greater degree compared to other types of business.
What are you predictions?
Happy holidays to you all!
